نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار جامعه شناسی، دانشکده علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران.
2 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد جامعه شناسی دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل ، ایران
چکیده
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The present study aims to provide a sociological explanation of the relationship between the four dimensions of anomie (cultural, social, economic, and political) and the potential for social unrest and protests in contemporary Iran. The research method is descriptive-analytical with a documentary-library approach, and data were collected through secondary analysis of 45 credible documents, including national survey reports (ISPA, GAMA), doctoral dissertations, and peer-reviewed scientific articles published between 2001 and 2022. The theoretical framework combines Smelser's Value-Added Theory and Ogburn and Nimkoff's Cultural Lag Model.
Findings indicate that widespread perceptions of cultural anomie (69% flattery, 87.1% nepotism, 46.7% dishonesty), social anomie (60.6% negative normative traits, 40.6% pessimism), economic anomie (57.3% economic dissatisfaction, 77.2% expectation of widening class gaps), and political anomie (40.4% rejection of political justice, 39.2% perception of political blockage, 40% perceived discrimination in law enforcement) have functioned as structural strains. According to Smelser's theory, these strains, interacting with generalized beliefs about injustice and precipitating factors (economic shocks, symbolic events), transform latent dissatisfaction into protest action. Simultaneously, Ogburn and Nimkoff's model explains that the rapid pace of structural change in Iranian society has outstripped the adaptive capacity of norms and control institutions, leading to maladjustment, role confusion, and erosion of social capital.
Results show that political and economic anomie are the strongest predictors of potential street protests, with feelings of relative deprivation and participation blockage serving as key mediating mechanisms. Furthermore, the erosion of institutional trust and normalization of negative norms have weakened the system's symbolic legitimacy and rendered informal social control ineffective.
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